Chief
Economist: It's A Depression
Professor Peter Morici, a former chief economist at the U.S. International Trade Commission, has become one of the first senior economists to admit that the U.S. is facing a 1930's style depression. Noting that 2.6 million payroll jobs have been lost since December 2007, Morici told financial publication Kiplinger that a 5 per cent contraction in the fourth quarter made the crisis "worse than a recession". "The economy will not recover without fundamental changes in banking and trade policy," said Morici, an economics professor at Maryland University, "A large stimulus package, though necessary, will only give the economy a temporary lift," he added. "The economy is in a depression, not a recession." (ARTICLE CONTINUES BELOW)
Morici's summation dovetails the analysis of renowned financial publication The Economist, which reported earlier this month that, based on the characteristics of the current financial crisis, the U.S. is in a depression, not a recession. On December 23rd, the IMF’s top economist, Olivier Blanchard, warned that falling confidence could turn a recession into a depression if market sentiment continued to dwindle. [DISCUSS THIS STORY IN OUR FORUM]
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