Note: Martin Armstrong was the highest paid economist in the 80's and 90's. He is considered to be brilliant in economics by many. He has predicted all the crashes since the 80's.
We are facing a Depression that will last 23-26 years. The response of government is going to seal our fate because they cannot learn from the past and will make the same mistakes that every politician has made before them. Even if the Dow Industrials make new highs next week (impossible), the Depression is unstoppable with current models and tools. Stocks & Consumers vs. Investment Banks Let us set the record straight. The Stock Market is a mere reflection of the economy like looking at yourself in a mirror. It is not the economy and does not even provide a reliable forecasting tool of what is to come economically. We are headed into the debt tsunami that is of historical proportions unheard-of in history. There have been the big debt crisis incidents that have hobbled nations, toppled kings, and set in motion economic dark ages. It is so critical to understand the difference between the economy and the stock market, for unless you comprehend this basic and root distinction between the two, survival may be impossible.
(ARTICLE CONTINUES BELOW)
To the left I have provided the Economic Confidence Model for the
immediate decline. You will notice I did not call this the "stock
market model" nor a model for gold, oil, or commodities. I used
the word "economic" with distinct and clear purpose. I have
stressed it does not forecast the fate, of a particular market or
even a particular economy. It is the global economic cycle some may
call even a business cycle. Please note that what does line-up and
peaks precisely with this model often even to the specific day that
was calculated decades advance is the area of primary focus. Yet the
US stock market reached a high precisely with this model and then
rallied to a new high price 8.6 months later. In Japan, the NIKKEI
225 peaked precisely on February 26th, 2007. This is not a very good
omen. But there was something profound that turned down with the February
27th, 2007 target - the S&P Case-Shiller index of housing prices
in 20 cities. February 2007 was the peak for this cycle in the debt
markets - not the US stock market. The stock market always bottoms
in advance of the economic low. In fact, we will see new highs in
the now even in the middle of a Great Depression. At least the 1929
cycle was more of a bubble top in stocks than what we have in place
currently in the US stock market. We still had the bubble top in the
NASDAQ back in 2000, but this illustrates the point. There was a major
explosive speculative boom.
Read
More Here PDF FILE
