Glass-Steagall and other Depression-era legislation was repealed
based upon the claim that the modern financial system was totally
stable.
The basis of this argument?
Yup, derivatives.
The financial boys thought they were so smart that they had modeled
all potential risks for every investment or transaction using derivatives.
And they convinced government regulators with their big talk.
Former Fed chairman Paul
Volker explained that the entire
modern financial system is based upon derivatives, and the financial
system today is entirely different from the traditional American or
global financial system because derivatives - a relatively new concept
- now underly the entire fabric
of the financial system.
How Are the New Tools Working for You?
Bernanke and Paulson and Congress constantly talk about all of the
"tools" we have that weren't available to stop the Great Depression.
How are those new tools working for you, boys?
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Not very well, as the worsening financial crisis shows.
Why aren't they working?
Economist, highly-regarded investment advisor, and one of the world's
foremost authorities on derivatives Nassim Nicholas Taleb explains
(together with the creator of fractal theory and chaos theory, Dr.
Mandelbrot) that the financial crisis will be worse
than the Great Depression because of derivatives. Specifically,
in a
PBS interview, Taleb explains that the architecture of the current
financial system prevents frequent periods of instability, but that
when instability does occur, it is on a catastrophic scale.
Taleb is saying that - in thinking they were so smart by trying to
control risk through the all-pervasive use of derivatives - the financial
gambers have created a perfect storm which will result in a crash
worse than the Great Depression.
All of the fancy "tools" in the world cannot solve the crisis unless
derivatives are tamed, because - as Volker says - the entire financial
system is built like a house of cards on top of derivatives. Or, as
many writers describe it, the world economy is getting sucked into
a black hole of derivatives debt.
As a writer for one of the leading British newspapers said a couple
of months ago, trying to calm the financial storm without dealing
with the huge derivatives liability was building a canvass tent as
one's strategy to weather a hurricane.
That is why former Goldman
Sachs chairman John Whitehead, economists like PhD economist Krassimir
Petrov, and even Bush
are saying the current economic crisis is worse than the Great Depression.
They are right, unless derivatives are
tamed.