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Greenspan Says Oil to Keep Rising on Capacity Limits

David Tweed
Bloomberg
Wednesday, May 14, 2008

Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said oil prices will keep rising as energy companies have invested too little in production and infrastructure to cope with higher demand.

Companies haven't been reinvesting enough to keep supply growing in line with demand, Greenspan said via satellite to a conference sponsored by Deutsche Bank AG in Singapore, according to an investment strategist who attended the event and who spoke on the condition of anonymity.

Increasing futures-market activity is expanding the aggregate demand for oil because more needs to be held in storage to meet contracts, Greenspan said, according to the person who attended the event.

``There's evidence that fundamentals are pointing to higher prices,'' said Dariusz Kowalczyk, chief investment strategist at CFC Seymour Ltd. in Hong Kong. ``Even as demand and supply are in balance, the risks to supply and oil's attraction as an inflation hedge are pulling it higher.''

Crude oil rose to a record $126.98 a barrel in New York yesterday on concern U.S. refiners may fail to meet demand for fuels such as diesel and heating oil. Supplies of distillates in developed countries fell 6.7 percent to 477.6 million barrels in March from a year earlier, according to International Energy Agency estimates.

Inflationary Pressures

Crude oil for June delivery was at $125.99 a barrel at 11:53 a.m. Singapore time in after-hours electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Full article here.

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